Crate Odds Calculator

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Enter a part's drop chance to see how many crates (and matches) it takes to pull it.

Drop chance per crate

Crates per match

Earned per match

Matches on average ~167

…or about 1,000 crates

To be 90% sure of a drop ~384 matches

…opening 2,302 crates

Matches needed by odds

50% chance of a drop within ~116 matches 693 crates

90% chance of a drop within ~384 matches 2,302 crates

99% chance of a drop within ~768 matches 4,603 crates

A 90% row means: play this many matches and you'll have pulled it at least once 9 times out of 10.

Your luck

If I open this many crates…

…chance of at least one 9.5%

Each crate is independent — a drop is never guaranteed no matter how many you open. The numbers above are averages; you may get lucky sooner or run well past them.

Need crafting materials instead of a lucky pull? Try the Crafting Tracker.